Wednesday, December 7, 2011

First cyclone of the season in Australian waters likely to fizzle





Infared Image from Japan Meteorological Agency satellite MTSAT via Bureau of Meteorology- TC Alenga is the bright green/red system in the top left corner.

We could see the first tropical cyclone of the 2011-12 season in Australian waters with TC Alenga entering the Australian region of responsibility some time today.

It's situated in the central Indian Ocean and moving east southeast at 13kmh. It's expected to weaken on Thursday and Friday, and then dissipate well off the west coast of Australia due to unfavourable sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions. At this stage, the only influence that this system might have on the Australian mainland is rain for parts of the west coast like the Gascoyne/Pilbara due to increased moisture from the outflow of the cyclone.

I'll keep you posted!

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